I have been conducting research on Alzheimer’s disease for over forty years; this is a devastating disease for which there is no cure and no treatment that can alter its progression. Yet its impact, its importance to society, and the likelihood of ever finding a cure will certainly become moot during the next 20 years. Why? Obesity and its consequences for the health of the world’s population will ultimately dwarf all other public health concerns, including Alzheimer’s disease.
By the year 2030, it is estimated that almost 60% of the world’s population will be overweight or severely obese. Since 1991 the obesity epidemic has been responsible for a 77% increase in death rates. Childhood obesity will double over the next 20 years. Thus, the probability of large numbers of people living long enough to develop Alzheimer’s disease will become very low. The accumulation of excess body fat will accelerate aging, and the subsequent increase in obesity-related disorders, in an ever-increasing proportion of the world’s population, particularly the children.